Regardless of the scandals, racist policies, incompetence and outright ignorant foreign policy of our current president I’m not all that interested in seeing him impeached any time soon. I’d much rather the Special Prosecutor Robert Mueller’s investigation find every bit of the dirt and then begin the impeachment process sometime in May of 2020 after it’s too late for any real competition for the Republican nomination.
Recently published research shows that regardless of Trump’s plummeting national approval rating, Republican voters in those districts that voted for Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016 still rate him the same as they did on his inauguration day. I see little chance of that changing so if all else remains equal we’ll lose again in 2020. We’re going to need the next three and a half years to figure out and execute a plan to get non-voters to the polls. Here in
Texas that’s a lot of folks, in fact
more than half of the voting age population of Texas didn’t vote at all. Based on
demographics most of them are likely to vote for Democrats if they can be persuaded
to show up at the polls. Winning in Texas is
really important since if Texas
had swung to the Democrats in 2016 Trump would have been two votes short in the
electoral college and we’d likely have a Democratic president today.
We’ve got serious work to do in South Texas, for example in
the voting age population is over
616,000 and just 28% voted in 2016. Hidalgo County
has a voting age population of 638,000 and only 33% voted. Harris County, 3.3
million and 39% turnout, Bexar County 1.4 million 41% turnout, Guadalupe County
115,000 and 49.4% turnout. Pathetic as those numbers are statewide the turnout
rate was just 42.62%. Non-voter demographics suggest that about two out of three
of them would vote for Democrats if they voted at all, so just an overall
turnout increase of 17% would have been enough to win El
Paso County Texas for the Democrats in 2016.
I’m not just interested in impeachment being delayed for electoral reasons. It is actually in the best interest of the American people to have an incompetent Republican in the oval office rather than a competent one. If Mike Pence were President, he might very well have been able to work with the House and Senate to come up with a bill to repeal at least parts of the Affordable Care Act and who knows how many Americans would suffer and die for the greed of his wealthy sponsors. While some pundits argue that Mueller is going after Pence too, even if both are impeached the Speaker of the House is next in line of succession and that gives us Paul Ryan as President which I don’t see as a good thing.
Ryan is the architect of the House version of the bill that would repeal the Affordable Care Act which would kick 15 million Americans off Medicaid and cause another 7 million to lose their insurance coverage. Not only that but even very conservative estimates suggest passage of repeal would lead to the unnecessary and preventable deaths of 15,000 to 20,000 Americans every year. Then there’s the untold suffering of those who would be left untreated for illnesses that too often damage their bodies for life. Not to mention the number of bankruptcies that would increase again due to those who received medical care they then couldn’t pay for.
Trump may be one of the worst presidents ever but anyone other Republican is likely to be worse for
Published in the Seguin Gazette August 11, 2017